I was recently interviewed for a press release through a financial question and answer format. One of the questions asked of me in the interview was:
Where do you think the stock market is headed over the next five years?
My Answer!
Charles M. O'Melia: No one knows! There is an old Chinese proverb that goes something like this: "He, who could foresee events 3 days in advance, would be rich for thousands of years." On a long-term basis I have only witnessed expansion and progress. I believe that to be the nature of our American economy and our American way of life. And as our economy goes, so goes the stock market and I see no reason to change that belief.
Who would have thought the expansion in China would generate 5 billion dollars of business for GE? The US companies listed on the New York stock exchange have the ability to profit throughout the global expansion of business around the world. And, an investor can profit without the necessity of having to own an overseas fund or companies to profit.
Up until that question, the thought of what the market was going to do tomorrow (or for that matter, 5 years from now) have never concerned me. I never gave it a thought (Well, maybe a little!). There just isn't enough concern on my part whether we are heading for a bear market or a bull market, or if the markets are heading sideways.
When you own a portfolio filled with companies that have a history of raising their dividend every year, and a systematic approach of adding more shares to the portfolio through the dividend reinvestments every quarter, plus having a simple savings plan with an opportunistic buying approach of adding even more shares to the portfolio every quarter, it really doesn't matter. I am always buying more shares.
Sometimes I pay too much for one of my companies; sometimes I receive a great bargain. But no matter which, bargain or expensive, my income from those companies always continues to grow and grow and grow and grow and grow.
Sometimes, the dividend yield of one stock may be 5.15%, and the following year or two (even with two dividend increases during those two years) the dividend yield would drop to less than 3%. This, for example, may mean the stock price would have risen from the 30 dollar range to the 60 dollar range. I have found that when that 5.15% dividend yield drops to around 1%, the company's stock in question becomes so high that the company usually has a stock split, as well as a dividend increase.
Right now, the DOW seems to be having trouble breaking that 11,000 barrier. And, right now, I can't help thinking back, way, way, back.
For those of you who don't remember the late 1960's, early 70's, the DOW barrier was 1,000.
Oh, what a tough time that DOW 1,000 barrier was! I remember thinking ? it's going to break it this time. Back in 1966 was the first attempt (rose to 985) and it kept on trying to break the 1,000 barrier for the next 6 years. When it finally broke 1,000 (it reached 1,050 or so, in 1972), it immediately fell back. It took another 10 years before the DOW broke the 1,100 barrier. Six years for the DOW at 985 to break 1,000. Another 10 years to break 1,100. A total of 16 years to add a mere 115 points on the DOW.
So, is the 11,000 barrier in the DOW today similar to the 1100 barrier of times-gone-by? Will 11,000 on the DOW become a 16 year barrier? Could be! Then again, maybe not! I don't know! "He, who could foresee events etc."
In the meantime, I will continue watching my dividend income continue to grow and grow and grow and grow and grow!
To find the LINK for the complete financial interview visit: http://www.thestockopolyplan.com
You have permission to this article either electronically or in print as long as the author bylines are included, with a live link and the article is not changed in any way. Please provide a courtesy emailto: charles@thestockopolyplan.com telling where the article was published. (Word Count 706)
Charles M. O'Melia is an individual investor with almost 40 years of experience and passion for the stock market. The author of the book 'The Stockopoly Plan ? Investing for Retirement'; published by American-Book Publishing. The book can be purchased at http://www.thestockopolyplan.com
one time home cleaning Highland Park ..Many people would like to diversify their portfolios to expand... Read More
Last time we looked at the real performance of the... Read More
How many people went to a cash position this week?... Read More
It is finally catching up with them. The brokerage companies... Read More
It has fallen upon the consumer to make our economy... Read More
If you don't know where you are going any road... Read More
Any online investor / trader seeks an excellent off or... Read More
If you haven't heard of the technical indicator with the... Read More
One of the great "secrets" of successful people is discipline... Read More
All of the talking heads have been telling us that... Read More
On Friday or Saturday evening my wife gets a movie... Read More
For the last few weeks we have seen the stock... Read More
How can you dispel an illusion unless you look directly... Read More
Most advisors will tell you they can beat the market.... Read More
Investors who exclusively use broadly diversified, no load mutual funds... Read More
Mutual funds were created with the idea that one person... Read More
What account size do I need?How much money can I... Read More
Question: How does it get better when it gets worse?Last... Read More
Let's go into the details of why non-indexed mutual funds... Read More
One Saturday morning, while he was sitting at his computer... Read More
If you go to Haiti or other places in the... Read More
I mean it when I say that. While plastic silverware... Read More
Mutual funds were moderately successful in creating a presence in... Read More
Mutual fund investing is a lot like Thai cooking. Everyone... Read More
You remember the story about the frog that was put... Read More
licensed cleaning services Park Ridge ..Picture one of those clubs where only the real heavyweights... Read More
Last time we looked at the real performance of the... Read More
One of the greatest challenges of investing in stocks is... Read More
Is really not as important as to how you invest... Read More
As an investor you will want to check out any... Read More
Do you have a nest egg? You know, a place... Read More
I am taking the time to help others learn the... Read More
When you invest in the stock market for ever-increasing cash... Read More
Before you buy another car you walk around the lot,... Read More
Its dinnertime and the phone rings. It's Joe Noname with... Read More
Dollar cost averaging is one of the most popular ideas... Read More
An insane person cannot evaluate an insane evaluation system.As you... Read More
I often hear from people, "I don't trade. I invest.... Read More
Right now there doesn't seem to be any "gold fever".... Read More
Are you one of those many people who dread reading... Read More
I am sure that if you have a brokerage account... Read More
On November 17 I bought 7 different mutual funds and... Read More
A few years back ? it seems like an eternity... Read More
What is leverage?Here is a definition of leverage from an... Read More
Sometime in the third quarter of 1997, someone told me... Read More
Have you ever thought of investing? Do you have a... Read More
The stock market has been going up for more than... Read More
Question: How does it get better when it gets worse?Last... Read More
When will the stock market stop going down and start... Read More
How is it possible that trash Companies are posting less... Read More
Stocks & Mutual Fund |