This is the continuing story of our two imaginary traders, Peter and Paul.
Peter is a professional trader, Paul is not. Peter has a tested, proven, written trading plan that he follows each time he enters a trade, Paul does not.
Peter and Paul have had vastly different Stock trading experiences - Peter has just made another substantial profit - this time from the Bear market, Paul has lost heavily.
A chance meeting with Peter's group of friends one day at lunch launches Paul on a learning curve that will see him become a good trader, but not without some hard lessons along the way.
In discussing the different attitudes of our two hypothetical traders, Peter and Paul, I have tried to share with you the thought processes that make a successful trader.
If you read any of the marketing material from the Financial Planning community or the Mutual Fund promoters, they all stress the principle of diversification.
They say it enhances returns while minimizing risk - Peter believes that ,as Frank Watkins says in his book, Exploding the Myths, "Diversification is another word for risk minimization, but it has very little to do with making profits."
As one of the World's greatest Investors, Warren Buffet, has said on many occasions - diversification is simply an antidote for ignorance!
Diversification for diversification's sake simply means that you will have your money in a lot of Stocks or markets that aren't performing to their fullest potential - some will be rising, some will be falling, some will be going nowhere.
Hardly the best way to run your trading Business is it?
Peter's view of diversification is different to that of the herd - use technical analysis to find several quality Stocks that are rising, then buy all of them in equal dollar amounts to reduce the risk of one Company crashing and taking all of his capital with it. When these quality Stocks stop going up, sell, take a profit and move on.
Why hold Stocks in a Portfolio that are not rising, or worse, falling in value, simply because you want to have some diversification?
If you look at the typical Brokers Portfolio recommendations, they will include Stocks that are in various stages of trends, both up and down. When you ask them why they would recommend something that is falling in price, they tell you, "Well you have to have some diversification.
And based on fundamentals, it's valued at much more than the Market is quoting it. Don't put all your eggs in the one basket, spread your risk through different sectors, etc. etc."
Peter merely takes the prudent step of diversifying across several quality Stocks that are rising in price. Simple.
Below are some charts of Stocks that Peter found met his criteria - of course, this is in no way a recommendation to go out and buy any of these - they are simply examples of Stocks that met Peter's buy criteria at the time of entry.
They might not fit the buy criteria now, and some have given Peter sell signals, but they will give you an idea of what to look for when a Broker or well meaning friend gives you that 'hot tip' and says you should buy as many of 'such and such stock' as you can get your hands on straight away.
(Charts available at www.StockTradingReview.com)
Study the charts above and you will notice that all of these Stocks were trending strongly with small reactions. The moving averages crossed and gave a buy signal - some gave a sell signal early and then another buy signal, and then they never looked back.
Of course, not every Stock Peter bought rallied like these did. If they didn't, they were sold and the proceeds were used to buy something that had more potential.
These are the types of trends Peter looks for and diversifies into.
He doesn't buy, hold and hope for profits, based on some imagined intrinsic value that his Broker says the market hasn't identified yet...
Remember though, if things don't go according to plan, Peter gets out quickly and looks for the next trade - but while the price is going his way, he simply looks for opportunities to compound his position.
"Remember this simple rule", Peter tells Paul with monotonous regularity - "With any Stock you are considering buying, don't buy it or hold onto it if it isn't going up!!"
Pretty simple advice, really...
To Your Trading Success,
Tony Spann and the Team
Stock Trading Review is dedicated to helping you succeed as a trader by sharing with you simple and easy to follow tips and techniques.
Discover more insider secrets and the exact proven strategies to trade stocks profitably: http://www.stocktradingreview.com
Copyright(C)2005 Stock Trading Review
shuttle to Midway Beardstown .. Lockport Chicago limo O’HareRight now there doesn't seem to be any "gold fever".... Read More
If you are going to be a winner in the... Read More
Starbucks earnings are up again and so is their stock... Read More
Every broker and financial planner will tell you that you... Read More
How is it possible that trash Companies are posting less... Read More
That sounds like good advice doesn't it? Don't lose all... Read More
(1) CHK stock price $16.74, NAV $32.5CHK is my favorite... Read More
As one of my regular readers you know I have... Read More
What is leverage?Here is a definition of leverage from an... Read More
It is finally catching up with them. The brokerage companies... Read More
Stock investment advice is easy to find. Do you get... Read More
Duck! No I don't mean a quack, quack. I meant... Read More
First let's see what protectionism is. According to Mr. Webster... Read More
Do you own any mutual funds? In an IRA or... Read More
One of the most believed bits of conventional wisdom from... Read More
If you don't know where you are going any road... Read More
Buy high and sell low -- It's not a typo.Millions... Read More
When you stand on the ocean shore and watch the... Read More
Let's discuss commodities; with the latest Enron situation, it is... Read More
Spread trading is a technique that can be used to... Read More
Ever jumped out of an airplane? It's OK if you... Read More
If you don't know what a Roth IRA is then... Read More
For the last few weeks we have seen the stock... Read More
What can I expect to make my first year of... Read More
Over the past few months, several investment professionals have brought... Read More
Green Bay Hummer H2 SUV rentals ..I have watched my cat play with a bag of... Read More
One of the things people are always asking me is... Read More
As one of my regular readers you know I have... Read More
There is a current movie entitled "Eternal Sunshine of the... Read More
For years investors have been taught to look into the... Read More
Index Fund Trading can be one of the most profitable...or... Read More
Question: How does it get better when it gets worse?Last... Read More
Professional stock options traders use the term lean to refer... Read More
Being wrong is OK, but let's not carry it to... Read More
Today's society gives special recognition to alcoholics, sexaholics, binge-aholics, shopaholics,... Read More
Intervention. Now don't let that big word scare you. The... Read More
Every broker and financial planner will tell you that you... Read More
When you become interested in a stock or mutual fund... Read More
Ever jumped out of an airplane? It's OK if you... Read More
Because you don't feel too sure about which stock or... Read More
When purchasing mutual funds we are cautioned to read the... Read More
When is a dividend not a dividend?The latest thing "conservative"... Read More
Let me start by saying that...Most online brokers do not... Read More
When we go to the circus we see a trapeze... Read More
If you are going to be a winner in the... Read More
Reach in your pocket and take out that big roll... Read More
When it comes to buying a stock or mutual fund... Read More
What a great statement!I just heard someone use it in... Read More
A few years back ? it seems like an eternity... Read More
Every stock market investor faces one primal enemy. An enemy... Read More
Stocks & Mutual Fund |