Home
>
Stocks & Mutual Fund
>
The Stock Market - How Just One Question Will Tell You All You Need To Know About Your Stock Broker

The Stock Market - How Just One Question Will Tell You All You Need To Know About Your Stock Broker

Last time we looked at the real performance of the stock market (we used the Dow Jones as a reference point) and the apparent performance that makes the headlines and can be seen by a casual look at a chart or "ballpark" figures - briefly; the Dow went up, for example, less than 50 points between April 1999 and April 2005 - essentially 6 years with no growth!

But behind that seemingly "becalmed" Dow there were at least 10 significant moves each and every year totalling many thousands of points!

But did the Wall Street Moguls, the so-called "Masters of the Universe" make you any money from those huge movements?

No.

Of course they didn't!

Here's how I know...

The web is a goldmine of information. Knowledge that was just not available to the private investor or trader is now there at the press of a mouse button.

Forget the Freedom of Information Act - the Internet leaves it standing.

Foremost amongst websites offering information about the financial facts of life (the things that affect you directly - Mutual Fund performance etc) is Morningstar.com.

And amongst other things, morningstar.com publishes a league table of mutual funds on a weekly, monthly and annual basis.

If you check out the table that I have provided at my website (www.TriggerSystem.com - full link at the bottom of the article), you'll see the performance of the top 20 or so mutual funds over the last 10 years.

I've chosen the 10 year chart because mutual funds are essentially long term "investments", and which most people seem to keep almost for ever (the chart on my website is by it's very nature a little bit out of date, but things haven't improved too much since that screen shot was taken. If you want the up to date figures just go to www.morningstar.com and search their data base for the 10 year performance of mutual funds)

Take a look...

You'll see that the top rated fund, over 10 years, has shown a total growth of 23% - which at first sight looks fairly impressive; 23%; wow!

But the problem is, that 23% is total growth over 10 years, not growth per annum.

So the 23% total growth starts to look like a less than impressive 1.7% per annum compounded (hey, even the banks are giving more than that on deposit).

I'll be honest, I didn't believe it either - so I sent off an email to morningstar.com and they confirmed my worst fears - 23% is the total growth over 10 years.

Sheesh!

And the average growth of all 1304 funds? A less than impressive 7.3% over 10 years (less than one half of one percent)!

Check out that hiding place under your mattress - at least you don't have to pay exhorbitant fees to keep your money there.

The one certainty is that the Fund Managers will not, personally, have fared so badly - they will still draw their large salaries and enjoy all the benefits of charging you fat fees for their "professional expertise"

As Thomas Sowell wrote:

"It is hard to imagine a more stupid or more dangerous way of making decisions than by putting those decisions in the hands of people who pay no price for being wrong"

OK, I know not everybody has money "tied up" in Mutual Funds and some people prefer the higher returns of the Stock Market.

So what about the analysts and stock brokers?

Well, we all know about Enron and the others - the stocks in the early 90s that crippled so many of America's biggest pension funds.

Use the TriggerSystem link (shown below) to view the Enron chart screenshot, which is lower down the page (below the Morningstar.com screen shot).

You'll see that on 20 November 2000 there was a "technical sell signal" flagged for Enron when it was trading at just over $80 per share (don't worry about the term "technical sell signal" - it just means a sophisticated trading programme told it's owner that he should SELL).

Over the next 2.5 months, Enron's price fluctuated up and down without really going anywhere, until the middle of February 01 when it really started to slide (just as it appeared to have stabilized at $80).

As they say, a picture is worth a thousand words, and to save my typing fingers - the numbers speak for themselves.

Follow the chart to the right and you'll see that the major stockbroking houses and analysts were still saying "BUY" as the market lost 75% of it's value over the next 9 months.

It was only on October 19th 2001 - just 11 months after our "technical sell signal" that the first warning appeared from the Brokers and Analysts - and even then there was a further major BUY reccommendation before Enron slipped again to be worth less than 40 cents on 30 November 2001 - A decline from $80 per share to $0.26 per share in 12 months!

And all the time the major brokers and analysts were telling their ordinary customers to either Buy or Hold.

And as we later found out, the Brokers and Analysts were telling their biggest corporate customers a totally different story.

So, whilst the Stock Market is your best friend (trust me on this one, or look for my previous article) - the people who operate it may simply be their own best friend, and from your point of view, any advice you receive from them should be taken with a very large pinch of salt.

And if you still think you can trust the advice they give you, here's the simple "5 word question" I mentioned at the beginning of this article... Ring them and ask: "What Guarantee Do You Give"? Just pick up the phone and ask them about the guarantee they give you regarding their advice.

Once they've stopped coughing and spluttering and picked themselves up from the floor, you may hear this well worn mantra: "the value of stocks can fall as well as rise" etc etc.

If they're not prepared to guarantee their advice, then frankly their advice is not to be trusted.

More next time...

Geoffrey Cummins is a full time stock market trader and has spent the last 12 years developing what he calls his "weedy little spreadsheet trading system", giving him some unique insights into the working of the world's stock markets. Under pressure from friends and family, Geoffrey is now making his unique insights and trading signals available to a worldwide audience

And unlike your stockbroker, he guarantees you a minimum 300% return on your investment (ROI) click here to view the charts referred to in this article

No wild claims, just common sense advice and the best Risk Free Trial (a full 90 days for less than $5 a week) on the internet all backed up by his unique 3 part / 300% guarantee.

If he doesn't provide you with a minimum return on your investment of 300% (the banks best offer is 3%. Not guaranteed) - he'll give you your money back. No questions asked. click here to view the charts referred to in this article

recurring maid service Buffalo Grove ..

In The News:

The iconic Mary Kay pink Cadillac goes electric with the Cadillac Optiq, available only to the company's top 1% of sales force performers.

Cybercriminals abuse trusted Intel driver to gain kernel access and shut down Windows Defender, enabling undetected malware deployment since July 2025.

Using email aliases for online shopping and subscriptions can protect your privacy by preventing companies from linking your activity across websites.

New research shows AI overlap does not equal job replacement, with knowledge-based roles seeing most integration while physical jobs remain least affected.

Scammers target seniors who avoid social media by exploiting public records like obituaries and real estate filings to steal personal information and money

Recovery team in Italy use AI-enabled drones to detect missing hiker's red helmet, leading to successful recovery after months of ground searches

Google Salesforce system breach exposes business data while scammers use incident to target users with fake security calls and phishing attempts.

Google announces Pixel 10 lineup with Tensor G5 chip and Gemini Nano AI, introducing Magic Cue, Pro Res Zoom up to 100x and satellite emergency support features.

C San Diego study reveals 86% of school safety companies monitor students 24/7 on personal devices, raising privacy concerns.

Users can now add their favorite outlets' coverage to the Top Stories section of Google search results by utilizing the 'preferred sources' feature. With just a few clicks, you can add Fox News.

Stay up to date on the latest AI technology advancements and learn about the challenges and opportunities AI presents now and for the future.

Interstellar object 3I/ATLAS shows an unexpected frontal glow that Harvard's Avi Loeb says cannot be explained by sunlight reflection or standard cometary outgassing.

Receiving order confirmations for purchases you never made could mean your email address is being exploited in fraud operations targeting multiple retailers.

First wireless brain implant works with Apple's official protocol, enabling hands-free control of iPhones, iPads and Vision Pro through thought alone.

Data brokers sell personal details that scammers use to target retirement funds through fake financial advisor calls and convincing phishing attempts

Ten innovative tech solutions from gait sensors to smart pill dispensers help adults 65+ track fall risks and prevent injuries before they happen.

Meta AI internal documents revealed chatbots were allowed to flirt with children and engage in romantic conversations until the company was exposed by Reuters.

ChatGPT will avoid giving direct mental health advice under new OpenAI rules following instances where the AI model provided harmful or misleading responses.

Your phone tracks you in more ways than that little GPS icon suggests. Here’s how to find and clear hidden location logs on iPhone and Android.

Authorities in France and the Netherlands have been notified. Meanwhile, impacted customers are being told to stay alert.

Apple just rolled out a redesigned Blood Oxygen feature to specific models, following a recent victory in a legal dispute.

Kidney dialysis provider DaVita experienced a ransomware breach by the Interlock gang affecting 916,000 people in the second-largest U.S. healthcare attack of 2025.

A Chinese-made Unitree R1 robot walked Manhattan streets and shopped for shoes as part of KraneShares' $28 million AI robotics fund promotion campaign.

The ShinyHunters cybercriminal group breached Google's Salesforce system through vishing attacks, stealing business contact details and customer data.

Stay up to date on the latest AI technology advancements and learn about the challenges and opportunities AI presents now and for the future.

The Stock Market - How Just One Question Will Tell You All You Need To Know About Your Stock Broker

Stocks & Mutual Fund