There are formulas for just about everything, but it has been shown that the simpler the formula or method of doing a particular task the better it works. It has evolved down to KISS ? Keep It Simple Stupid.
This also applies to trading in the stock market. There are literally hundreds of formulas, both technical and fundamental that are easily available to investors. Each trader has his own method he uses. Every professional trader on the floor of the stock exchange has his own variation on some major proven formula. The more skilled he becomes with it the more he feels it is the best one.
Sometimes it takes years for a trader to settle on one method or group of methods that he uses to signal buys and sells. It took me many years to find that technical group that worked for me when I was an exchange member.
For some it evolves into long term trading and for others it can be buying and selling in a matter of minutes. The time period is not important. The method is. Even as a floor trader on the commodity exchange I had only two criteria I watched before entering into any position.
All professional traders and investors are aware of the single most important fact and that is how much I am willing to lose before I exit this new position. Every KISS formula has an exit strategy. Every professional knows in advance how much he will allow himself to lose if he is wrong. The professional does not set a limit on the winning side of a trade only on the losing side.
Ask any full time professional and he will tell you if he is right 50% of the time he considers that to be phenomenal. When I was on the floor I was only right about 40% of the time, even about 20% and wrong about 40%. BUT I made $3.00 for every dollar I lost. Small losses and big winners are the key to success. This is the key to any profitable formula ? keeping the losses small.
When I see advertisements in the financial papers for methods claiming to be right 80%, 90% of the time I cringe. It just can't be. There is no trader I ever met who was that good and I have known some exceptional traders.
The major text on technical analysis is "Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" by Edwards and Magee now in the 17th printing of the Fifth Edition that lists multitudes of methods. They all work, but many are complicated. A magazine called Futures Truth analyses 200 commodity trading systems in each issue. Fundamental Theory is equally complex.
There are software programs that allow the investors to enter as many as 30 parameters. The more complex it is the less chance it has to work. And the biggest obstacle to any program is the trader himself. He cannot hesitate when a buy or sell signal is given.
Keep your formula simple and execute the signals. You can be a winner.
Al Thomas' book, "If It Doesn't Go Up, Don't Buy It!" has helped thousands of people make money and keep their profits with his simple 2-step method. Read the first chapter at http://www.mutualfundmagic.com and discover why he's the man that Wall Street does not want you to know.
Copyright 2005
The stock market has been going up for more than... Read More
What is leverage?Here is a definition of leverage from an... Read More
No, this is not a symbol for some Latin number.... Read More
When will the stock market stop going down and start... Read More
Mutual funds by definition are a mixed bag of stocks,... Read More
The fight continues to rage among traders who use technical... Read More
With the internet such a huge part of our daily... Read More
I read a comment by a forum member on another... Read More
Before you embark upon a journey of trading stocks or... Read More
∙ Make every investment in the stock market a long-term... Read More
Every day in any financial publication you will find the... Read More
Reach in your pocket and take out that big roll... Read More
In one of my previous articles (Investing in the stock... Read More
Inverted interest rates? What's that? Who cares? Even if you... Read More
Mutual funds are doing more and more to discourage investors... Read More
We all know that emotions control every decision that an... Read More
The trading method you employ to approach the stock market... Read More
'Sector funds are too risky.' 'I doubled my money with... Read More
Let's go into the details of why non-indexed mutual funds... Read More
Intervention. Now don't let that big word scare you. The... Read More
If you have talked to a stock broker or financial... Read More
You should ignore analysts on TV, the radio, the newspaper... Read More
If you were to find that you had some severe... Read More
One of the main reasons many of us get into... Read More
What can I expect to make my first year of... Read More
When it comes to 401k's there is an overabundance of... Read More
Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are growing. Investors are choosing low... Read More
You probably have been told that options are risky. Even... Read More
Since I can remember, and that's a long time ago,... Read More
Picking a beaten-down stock requires a different kind of selection... Read More
Let's go into the details of why non-indexed mutual funds... Read More
It has been said that low cost or even free... Read More
We have two candidates for president that have really different... Read More
Before we get into all the good news out there,... Read More
It looks like we have now entered a new bull... Read More
The stock market is very unstable at this time going... Read More
During the day I watch CNBC-TV, the stock market channel.... Read More
What does it take to be a stock trader? It... Read More
Fundamental analysis.Fundamentals analysis says the best way to predict the... Read More
Has your broker been calling you recently with the "great... Read More
I am taking the time to help others learn the... Read More
There are major differences between trading stocks and trading futures.... Read More
Jack and Jill went up the hill to fetch a... Read More
A stock market index is a statistical measure of changes... Read More
Dollar cost averaging is one of the most popular ideas... Read More
On November 17 I bought 7 different mutual funds and... Read More
There are red lights, green lights, blue lights and spot... Read More
Stock trading remains a very competitive field and the stock... Read More
The demand for world oil is increasing while world reserves... Read More
People are constantly asking me why is the stock market... Read More
Stocks & Mutual Fund |